Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Iafallo vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Iafallo's 1.15.
Iafallo had 29 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Iafallo has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Iafallo's 1.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Iafallo's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.015, Blocked shots 56, Hits 120.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.83, Sequence xG 59.5%, Expected goals 59.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Iafallo
1.15
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Iafallo | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.31 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.19 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Iafallo vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Iafallo 4G 9A, 49 SOG · MacKinnon 14G 26A, 130 SOG
Iafallo's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–1 · Iafallo's defensive zone 1–0 (2017-18 to 2024-25)
Iafallo blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Iafallo's.
On the ice against each other (Iafallo's side)
19:49 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Iafallo's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–23
- 41.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–1.1
- 50.1%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Iafallo | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WPG 4–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3–1 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-19 | WPG 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-22 | WPG 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-01-11 | WPG 3–0 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-31 | WPG 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-11-07 | WPG 1–0 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | WPG 3–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | WPG 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | WPG 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 8S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | WPG 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 32 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Iafallo
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Iafallo or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Iafallo's 1.15. Iafallo had 29 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Iafallo or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Iafallo and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 32 games against each other in our data, Iafallo's team went 16–16. Iafallo had 13 points (4 goals) and MacKinnon had 40 (14 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Iafallo or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Iafallo has won 3 and MacKinnon 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →