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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Iafallo vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Iafallo's 1.15.

Iafallo had 29 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Iafallo has 1 game left; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Iafallo's 1.2.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Iafallo's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.8, Hits 120, Blocked shots 56.

McDavid's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Transition attempts /60 2.12, Sequence xG 56.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Iafallo

1.15

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromIafalloMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.311.15
Assists (+1)0.191.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.35
Hits (+0.1)0.150.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Iafallo vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

IafalloMcDavid
14Team record in 40 meetings26
17Points in those games65

Iafallo 8G 9A, 88 SOG · McDavid 20G 45A, 139 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other4

Iafallo's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 0–1 · Iafallo's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Iafallo blocked 0 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 1 of Iafallo's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Iafallo's side)

10:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Iafallo's side

Shot attempts
7–10
41.2%
Expected goals
0.2–1.1
17.3%
Goals
1–3

Games against each other

Games between Alex Iafallo and Connor McDavid
DateScoreIafalloMcDavid
2026-01-08WPG 3–4 EDM0G 1A 0S1G 1A 5S
2025-12-29WPG 1–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-06WPG 2–6 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 2A 5S
2025-04-13WPG 1–4 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S
2025-03-20WPG 4–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-09WPG 6–0 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-26WPG 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 2A 1S
2023-11-30WPG 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-21WPG 3–2 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2023-04-29 · POLAK 4–5 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2023-04-25 · POLAK 3–6 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 2A 4S
2023-04-23 · POLAK 4–5 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 3A 2S

Latest 12 of 40 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

IafalloMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Iafallo

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Iafallo or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Iafallo's 1.15. Iafallo had 29 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Iafallo or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Iafallo and McDavid done against each other?
In 40 games against each other in our data, Iafallo's team went 14–26. Iafallo had 17 points (8 goals) and McDavid had 65 (20 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Iafallo or McDavid?
Against each other, Iafallo has won 1 and McDavid 4 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →