Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Evan Bouchard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Evan Bouchard's 3.14.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bouchard has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.12, Top skating speed 24.6, Penalty minutes 44.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.1, Luck Meter +55, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.065.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidBouchard
Goals (+2)1.150.92
Assists (+1)1.321.03
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.30
Hits (+0.1)0.050.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Bouchard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidBouchard
4Shots blocked by the other0

McDavid blocked 4 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 0 of McDavid's.

70Goals set up by the other51

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

1016:44 at 5-on-5 over 90 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
1106–863
56.2%
Expected goals
62.6–42.4
59.6%
Goals
64–52

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidBouchard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Evan Bouchard's 3.14. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Evan Bouchard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →