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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Eeli Tolvanen

Alex OvechkinAlex OvechkinCapitals · Left wingvsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Corsi 50.1%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Ascension score 57, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.730.48
Assists (+1)0.430.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.17
Hits (+0.1)0.160.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinTolvanen
6Team record in 8 meetings2
8Points in those games3

Ovechkin 5G 3A, 29 SOG · Tolvanen 0G 3A, 14 SOG

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

4:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
1–3
25.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreOvechkinTolvanen
2026-01-27WSH 1–5 SEA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-21WSH 4–1 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-09WSH 4–2 SEA1G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-23WSH 3–0 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-14WSH 2–1 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-11WSH 1–4 SEA0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-15WSH 4–1 NSH2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-29WSH 5–3 NSH0G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 6–2. Ovechkin had 8 points (5 goals) and Tolvanen had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →