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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.3 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 57, Offensive-zone start % 59.1%, Fenwick 52.2%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07, Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchSamuelsson
Goals (+2)1.030.44
Assists (+1)0.390.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.14
Hits (+0.1)0.100.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchSamuelsson
3Shots blocked by the other0

Tuch blocked 3 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 0 of Tuch's.

6Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

470:58 at 5-on-5 over 87 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
462–482
48.9%
Expected goals
20.2–18.3
52.5%
Goals
25–15

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →