Who to start · 2025-26
Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.14.
Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Kerfoot has 1 game left; McDavid has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Kerfoot's 1.2.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 32 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kerfoot's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Luck Meter +55, Goals above expected +3.9.
McDavid's biggest edges: Shots on goal 306, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Transition attempts /60 2.12.
Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Kerfoot 19–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
1.14
fantasy points per game
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kerfoot | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.39 | 1.15 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.17 | 1.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kerfoot vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kerfoot 8G 6A, 24 SOG · McDavid 18G 22A, 86 SOG
Kerfoot's offensive zone 2–4 · neutral 8–7 · Kerfoot's defensive zone 5–8 (2017-18 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Kerfoot's side)
2:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kerfoot's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–3
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.3
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kerfoot | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | UTA 6–5 EDM | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2026-03-24 | UTA 2–5 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-18 | UTA 1–7 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-12-31 | UTA 1–4 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | UTA 3–4 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2024-04-17 | ARI 5–2 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-19 | ARI 3–6 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | TOR 7–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-01 | TOR 2–5 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2021-12-14 | TOR 5–1 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-03-29 | TOR 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-03-27 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexander Kerfoot
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.2 pts
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexander Kerfoot or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.14. Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexander Kerfoot or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 32 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kerfoot and McDavid done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Kerfoot's team went 14–12. Kerfoot had 14 points (8 goals) and McDavid had 40 (18 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kerfoot or McDavid?
- Against each other, Kerfoot has won 15 and McDavid 19 of their 34 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →