Who to start · 2025-26
Alexander Kerfoot vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.14.
Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Kerfoot has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Kerfoot's 1.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 31 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kerfoot's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Ascension score 51, Shorthanded points 1.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Shots on goal 350, Hardest shot 91.0, Assists 74.
Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Kerfoot 12–9.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
1.14
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kerfoot | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.39 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.17 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kerfoot vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kerfoot 2G 8A, 18 SOG · MacKinnon 7G 11A, 64 SOG
Kerfoot's offensive zone 4–5 · neutral 1–2 · Kerfoot's defensive zone 4–5 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
Kerfoot blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Kerfoot's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Kerfoot's side)
4:53 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kerfoot's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–6
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 2.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kerfoot | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | UTA 0–1 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-12-12 | UTA 4–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-24 | UTA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-02-18 | ARI 3–4 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 9S |
| 2023-12-27 | ARI 5–4 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-23 | ARI 1–4 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-30 | ARI 4–3 COL | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2023-03-15 | TOR 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-31 | TOR 6–2 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-08 | TOR 4–5 COL | 1G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 12S |
| 2021-12-01 | TOR 8–3 COL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 5S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexander Kerfoot
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.2 pts
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexander Kerfoot or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.14. Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexander Kerfoot or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 31 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kerfoot and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Kerfoot's team went 6–8. Kerfoot had 10 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 18 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kerfoot or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Kerfoot has won 9 and MacKinnon 12 of their 21 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →