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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs J.T. Miller

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Luck Meter +16, Goals above expected +0.8, On-ice PDO 1016.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Faceoffs won 547, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreMiller
Goals (+2)0.490.42
Assists (+1)0.340.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.110.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreMiller
3Team record in 6 meetings3
4Points in those games8

Lafrenière 2G 2A, 10 SOG · Miller 5G 3A, 14 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Lafrenière's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Lafrenière's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23)

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Lafrenière blocked 1 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 2 of Lafrenière's.

5Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

136:19 at 5-on-5 over 19 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
128–107
54.5%
Expected goals
5.3–4.8
52.2%
Goals
3–8

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and J.T. Miller
DateScoreLafrenièreMiller
2024-01-08NYR 3–6 VAN0G 2A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-10-28NYR 4–3 VAN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-15NYR 6–4 VAN0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-02-08NYR 4–3 VAN1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-27NYR 2–5 VAN1G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2021-11-02NYR 2–3 VAN0G 0A 0S2G 0A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LW
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Miller done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 3–3. Lafrenière had 4 points (2 goals) and Miller had 8 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lafrenière or Miller?
Against each other, Lafrenière has won 0 and Miller 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →