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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Clayton Keller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Keller has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Svechnikov's 2.1.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.8, Hits 148, Transition attempts /60 1.81.

Keller's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.19, On-ice PDO 1014, Blocked shots 32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovKeller
Goals (+2)0.690.59
Assists (+1)0.490.83
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.28
Hits (+0.1)0.220.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Keller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovKeller
9Team record in 12 meetings3
14Points in those games6

Svechnikov 7G 7A, 39 SOG · Keller 2G 4A, 17 SOG

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

14:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
14–9
60.9%
Expected goals
0.8–0.4
67.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Clayton Keller
DateScoreSvechnikovKeller
2026-04-11CAR 4–1 UTA1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-29CAR 5–4 UTA2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-08CAR 7–3 UTA0G 2A 0S2G 0A 5S
2024-11-13CAR 1–4 UTA0G 0A 7S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-16CAR 5–1 ARI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-03CAR 6–1 ARI0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-23CAR 0–4 ARI0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-10-31CAR 2–1 ARI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2020-02-06CAR 5–3 ARI2G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2020-01-10CAR 3–0 ARI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2018-12-16CAR 3–0 ARI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2018-11-02CAR 3–4 ARI1G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovKeller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Clayton Keller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Clayton Keller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Keller done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 9–3. Svechnikov had 14 points (7 goals) and Keller had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →