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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Tomas Hertl

Andrei SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovHurricanes · Right wingvsTomas HertlTomas HertlGolden Knights · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Svechnikov for 2.1 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.37, Luck Meter +27.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, Blocked shots 45, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Andrei Svechnikov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovHertl
Goals (+2)0.690.63
Assists (+1)0.490.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.27
Hits (+0.1)0.220.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovHertl
12Team record in 19 meetings7
12Points in those games15

Svechnikov 6G 6A, 51 SOG · Hertl 7G 8A, 39 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Svechnikov's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Svechnikov's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

26:57 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
26–28
48.1%
Expected goals
0.8–1.3
38.5%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreSvechnikovHertl
2026-06-14 · POCAR 3–0 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2026-06-11 · POCAR 4–2 VGK2G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2026-06-09 · POCAR 5–3 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-06-06 · POCAR 4–5 VGK1G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2026-06-04 · POCAR 4–3 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2026-06-02 · POCAR 4–5 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-28CAR 3–6 VGK1G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-20CAR 1–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-17CAR 3–2 VGK0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-11CAR 5–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-27CAR 3–0 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-27CAR 5–4 SJS0G 2A 5S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovHertl

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Hertl done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 12–7. Svechnikov had 12 points (6 goals) and Hertl had 15 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Svechnikov or Hertl?
Against each other, Svechnikov has won 1 and Hertl 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →