Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Cirelli vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67.
Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Cirelli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.
Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Cirelli's biggest edges: Blocked shots 47, Penalty minutes 48, Ascension score 55.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Transition attempts /60 0.43.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Cirelli
1.67
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Cirelli | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.70 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cirelli 8G 4A, 27 SOG · Karlsson 2G 7A, 23 SOG
Cirelli blocked 2 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 0 of Cirelli's.
On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)
6:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–3
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.6
- 50.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cirelli | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | TBL 6–3 PIT | 3G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-04 | TBL 3–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2025-03-25 | TBL 6–1 PIT | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-12 | TBL 5–2 PIT | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-19 | TBL 3–2 PIT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-06 | TBL 3–1 PIT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-30 | TBL 2–4 PIT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-02-07 | TBL 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2020-02-01 | TBL 3–0 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-07 | TBL 7–1 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2019-01-05 | TBL 2–5 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2018-03-13 | TBL 4–7 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Cirelli
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cirelli and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 7–5. Cirelli had 12 points (8 goals) and Karlsson had 9 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →