Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Cirelli vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Cirelli has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Cirelli for 1.7 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.
Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Cirelli's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.1%, Luck Meter +50, Penalty minutes 48.
Provorov's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.49, Hardest shot 97.1, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.27.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Cirelli
1.69
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Anthony Cirelli has the edge.
| Points per game from | Cirelli | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cirelli 6G 8A, 32 SOG · Provorov 4G 5A, 35 SOG
Cirelli blocked 3 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 1 of Cirelli's.
On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)
13:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–23
- 34.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.1
- 20.9%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cirelli | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | TBL 2–5 CBJ | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-24 | TBL 5–8 CBJ | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-18 | TBL 2–3 CBJ | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-21 | TBL 6–7 CBJ | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-09 | TBL 5–2 CBJ | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-10 | TBL 4–2 CBJ | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | TBL 2–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-03-07 | TBL 5–2 PHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-05 | TBL 7–1 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-23 | TBL 4–0 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Cirelli
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cirelli and Provorov done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 14–5. Cirelli had 14 points (6 goals) and Provorov had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →