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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Eeli Tolvanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Mantha for 1.4 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Anthony Mantha has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +9.1, Plus/minus +10, Offensive-zone start % 73.0%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Hits 187, Transition attempts /60 1.47.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.67

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.760.48
Assists (+1)0.360.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.060.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaTolvanen
5Team record in 13 meetings8
4Points in those games7

Mantha 1G 3A, 23 SOG · Tolvanen 3G 4A, 23 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Mantha blocked 0 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 1 of Mantha's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)

3:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side

Shot attempts
2–2
50.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
22.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreManthaTolvanen
2026-01-19PIT 6–3 SEA0G 2A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-22PIT 2–3 SEA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-19CGY 1–2 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-21VGK 3–1 SEA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-12VGK 5–4 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-11WSH 1–4 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2021-04-06DET 2–3 NSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2021-03-25DET 1–7 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2021-03-23DET 0–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2021-02-25DET 5–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2021-02-23DET 0–2 NSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2021-02-13DET 4–2 NSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Mantha leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 5–8. Mantha had 4 points (1 goals) and Tolvanen had 7 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →