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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Mantha projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Mantha for 1.4 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Anthony Mantha has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.0%, Offensive-zone time 43.0%, Luck Meter +74.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060, Ice-time share 40.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.78

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Anthony Mantha has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaProvorov
Goals (+2)0.810.22
Assists (+1)0.380.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.19
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaProvorov
13Team record in 21 meetings8
18Points in those games5

Mantha 7G 11A, 56 SOG · Provorov 3G 2A, 30 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other3

Mantha blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 3 of Mantha's.

On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)

19:59 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side

Shot attempts
20–19
51.3%
Expected goals
1.1–1.1
50.3%
Goals
3–2

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreManthaProvorov
2026-01-17PIT 3–4 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-04PIT 5–4 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-28PIT 4–3 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-25PIT 4–5 CBJ1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-23VGK 4–2 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-21WSH 3–2 CBJ2G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-18WSH 4–3 CBJ0G 0A 6S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-04WSH 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-14WSH 1–3 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-07WSH 4–1 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-23WSH 3–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-04-12WSH 9–2 PHI0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Mantha projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Mantha leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Provorov done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 13–8. Mantha had 18 points (7 goals) and Provorov had 5 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →