Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Bo Horvat
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Horvat had 57 in 68 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Horvat has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Horvat's 1.5.
Bo Horvat has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, On-ice PDO 1016, Blocked shots 81.
Horvat's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.5, Corsi 52.4%, 20+ mph bursts 190.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Horvat 81–72.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Bo Horvat
2.07
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Horvat |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Horvat
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 19G 5A, 102 SOG · Horvat 8G 10A, 58 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 33–28 · neutral 28–26 · Matthews's defensive zone 20–18 (2017-18 to 2026-27)
Matthews blocked 2 of Horvat's shots; Horvat blocked 3 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
3:07 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–4
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 76.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Horvat |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | TOR 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-02-05 | TOR 2–3 NYI | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-01-11 | TOR 3–4 NYI | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-12-11 | TOR 3–4 NYI | 1G 0A 11S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-21 | TOR 2–7 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-12 | TOR 3–2 VAN | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-05 | TOR 4–6 VAN | 2G 0A 8S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2022-02-12 | TOR 2–3 VAN | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2021-05-01 | TOR 5–1 VAN | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-04-29 | TOR 4–1 VAN | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-04-20 | TOR 3–6 VAN | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-18 | TOR 2–3 VAN | 1G 0A 7S | 2G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Bo Horvat
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Bo Horvat in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Horvat had 57 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Bo Horvat?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Bo Horvat leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Horvat done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 10–12. Matthews had 24 points (19 goals) and Horvat had 18 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Horvat?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 81 and Horvat 72 of their 153 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →