Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Matthews's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Offensive-zone time 41.9%, Transition attempts /60 2.09.
Provorov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.7, Corsi 50.3%, Plus/minus +14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.56
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 13G 12A, 84 SOG · Provorov 4G 9A, 47 SOG
Matthews blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 5 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
16:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–15
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.7
- 41.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | TOR 2–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-29 | TOR 3–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-05 | TOR 5–0 CBJ | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-22 | TOR 1–5 CBJ | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-22 | TOR 2–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-29 | TOR 5–6 CBJ | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-12-23 | TOR 4–1 CBJ | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-14 | TOR 5–6 CBJ | 2G 1A 9S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-01-08 | TOR 6–2 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-22 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-02 | TOR 5–2 PHI | 1G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-02 | TOR 6–3 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 2G 1A 6S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Matthews and Provorov done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 10–10. Matthews had 25 points (13 goals) and Provorov had 13 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →