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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs J.T. Miller

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, On-ice PDO 1016, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, 20+ mph bursts 147, Top skating speed 22.8.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Matthews 46–42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsMiller
Goals (+2)0.790.42
Assists (+1)0.380.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.20
Hits (+0.1)0.070.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsMiller
16Team record in 27 meetings11
24Points in those games24

Matthews 18G 6A, 106 SOG · Miller 11G 13A, 54 SOG

42Faceoffs against each other46

Matthews's offensive zone 14–9 · neutral 12–21 · Matthews's defensive zone 16–16 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

4Shots blocked by the other2

Matthews blocked 4 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 2 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

2:51 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
0–5
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and J.T. Miller
DateScoreMatthewsMiller
2025-10-16TOR 2–1 NYR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-20TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-28TOR 3–2 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-11TOR 0–3 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-20TOR 4–6 VAN0G 1A 7S1G 1A 1S
2023-11-11TOR 5–2 VAN0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-03-04TOR 1–4 VAN0G 0A 4S1G 1A 5S
2022-11-12TOR 3–2 VAN1G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2022-03-05TOR 4–6 VAN2G 0A 8S1G 1A 1S
2022-02-12TOR 2–3 VAN1G 0A 7S1G 1A 1S
2021-05-01TOR 5–1 VAN2G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-04-29TOR 4–1 VAN1G 0A 5S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to C
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Miller done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 16–11. Matthews had 24 points (18 goals) and Miller had 24 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Miller?
Against each other, Matthews has won 42 and Miller 46 of their 88 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →