Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.
Noah Dobson has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: High-danger chances 49.0%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, Scoring chances 48.4%.
Dobson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Luck Meter +25, 20+ mph bursts 65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 6G 3A, 44 SOG · Dobson 2G 9A, 33 SOG
Matthews blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 3 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
33:33 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 33–45
- 42.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–2.1
- 39.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | TOR 2–3 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | TOR 1–3 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-06 | TOR 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-08 | TOR 5–2 MTL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-05 | TOR 2–3 NYI | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-11 | TOR 3–4 NYI | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 4A 2S |
| 2023-12-11 | TOR 3–4 NYI | 1G 0A 11S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2023-03-21 | TOR 2–7 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-21 | TOR 2–3 NYI | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-01-22 | TOR 3–1 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2021-11-21 | TOR 3–0 NYI | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-01-04 | TOR 3–0 NYI | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Dobson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 4–8. Matthews had 9 points (6 goals) and Dobson had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →