Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 580, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Ice time per game 20:48.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.56
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 7G 6A, 54 SOG · Tarasenko 5G 12A, 49 SOG
Matthews blocked 0 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
2:24 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–4
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 4.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | TOR 3–6 MIN | 1G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-17 | TOR 4–3 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | TOR 2–4 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-16 | TOR 2–5 FLA | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-01 | TOR 6–4 FLA | 2G 1A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-02-10 | TOR 3–5 OTT | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-27 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-07 | TOR 4–3 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-08 | TOR 3–6 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | TOR 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-27 | TOR 5–4 STL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2019-10-07 | TOR 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 5–11. Matthews had 13 points (7 goals) and Tarasenko had 17 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →