Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Blake Coleman's 1.76.

Coleman had 35 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Coleman has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Coleman's 1.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Coleman's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Hits 152, Shorthanded points 4.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Offensive-zone time 46.6%, Power-play points 30.

Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Coleman 11–10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Blake Coleman

1.76

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromColemanMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.671.49
Assists (+1)0.200.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.46
Hits (+0.1)0.210.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.360.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Coleman vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ColemanMacKinnon
5Team record in 19 meetings14
6Points in those games31

Coleman 4G 2A, 54 SOG · MacKinnon 12G 19A, 75 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other11

Coleman's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 3–7 · Coleman's defensive zone 3–3 (2017-18 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other1

Coleman blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Coleman's.

On the ice against each other (Coleman's side)

15:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Coleman's side

Shot attempts
20–22
47.6%
Expected goals
0.8–1.1
41.4%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Blake Coleman and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreColemanMacKinnon
2026-04-14CGY 1–3 COL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2026-03-30CGY 2–9 COL0G 0A 6S1G 2A 5S
2025-03-31CGY 3–2 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-14CGY 2–4 COL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-06CGY 2–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 3A 2S
2024-03-12CGY 2–6 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S
2023-12-11CGY 5–6 COL1G 1A 5S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-25CGY 1–3 COL0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-02-25CGY 1–4 COL0G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2023-01-18CGY 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2022-10-13CGY 5–3 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-03-13CGY 0–3 COL0G 0A 0S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ColemanMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Blake Coleman

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Blake Coleman or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Blake Coleman's 1.76. Coleman had 35 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Blake Coleman or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Coleman and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Coleman's team went 5–14. Coleman had 6 points (4 goals) and MacKinnon had 31 (12 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Coleman or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Coleman has won 10 and MacKinnon 11 of their 21 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →