Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Bo Horvat vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Horvat's 1.5.

Bo Horvat has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Horvat's biggest edges: Power-play share 74.3%, Power-play time per game 3:31, Offensive-zone time 43.6%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07, Goals above expected +5.4, On-ice PDO 1036.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bo Horvat

2.07

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bo Horvat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHorvatSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.850.44
Assists (+1)0.420.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.14
Hits (+0.1)0.080.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Horvat vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HorvatSamuelsson
2Team record in 8 meetings6
7Points in those games4

Horvat 2G 5A, 34 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 3A, 9 SOG

3Hits on each other0
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)

8:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side

Shot attempts
9–13
40.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.8
26.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Bo Horvat and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreHorvatSamuelsson
2026-03-31NYI 3–4 BUF0G 3A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-24NYI 0–5 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2024-12-23NYI 1–7 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-01NYI 4–3 BUF1G 1A 8S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-21NYI 1–3 BUF0G 1A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-10-14NYI 3–2 BUF0G 0A 8S0G 0A 2S
2022-10-22VAN 1–5 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-20VAN 2–3 BUF1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HorvatSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bo Horvat

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Bo Horvat or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bo Horvat or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bo Horvat leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Horvat and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 2–6. Horvat had 7 points (2 goals) and Samuelsson had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →