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Who to start · 2025-26

Bowen Byram vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bowen Byram's 1.37.

Byram had 42 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Byram has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.8 ESPN points to Byram's 2.0.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Byram's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.046, Ascension score 59, Shorthanded points 1.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bowen Byram

1.37

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromByramMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.241.49
Assists (+1)0.330.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.46
Hits (+0.1)0.050.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.590.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Byram vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ByramMacKinnon
0Team record in 4 meetings4
3Points in those games9

Byram 2G 1A, 8 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 5A, 25 SOG

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other1

Byram blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Byram's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0
6Goals set up by the other9

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Byram's side)

10:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Byram's side

Shot attempts
8–19
29.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.9
34.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Bowen Byram and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreByramMacKinnon
2025-11-13BUF 3–6 COL1G 0A 4S0G 1A 8S
2025-10-13BUF 1–3 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S
2025-01-02BUF 5–6 COL1G 0A 1S0G 3A 3S
2024-12-03BUF 4–5 COL0G 1A 2S2G 1A 9S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ByramMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bowen Byram

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.0 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Bowen Byram or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bowen Byram's 1.37. Byram had 42 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bowen Byram or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Byram and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Byram's team went 0–4. Byram had 3 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →