Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nelson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.80, Hits 162, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%.
Nelson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 65, Goals above expected +1.1, 20+ mph bursts 150.
Head to head on the dot, Nelson leads Tkachuk 13–10.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 8G 5A, 74 SOG · Nelson 8G 8A, 47 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 8–8 · neutral 2–5 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Tkachuk blocked 0 of Nelson's shots; Nelson blocked 4 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
11:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–4
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.2
- 60.6%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5–2 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-01-08 | OTT 2–8 COL | 1G 0A 7S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-14 | OTT 2–0 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-08 | OTT 2–4 NYI | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-07 | OTT 2–4 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-16 | OTT 4–3 NYI | 3G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-24 | OTT 3–5 NYI | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-10-26 | OTT 2–3 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-14 | OTT 3–2 NYI | 1G 1A 9S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-01-25 | OTT 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-14 | OTT 2–4 NYI | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Nelson done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 6–14. Tkachuk had 13 points (8 goals) and Nelson had 16 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Nelson?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 10 and Nelson 13 of their 23 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →