Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Hits 162, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%.
Provorov's biggest edges: Blocked shots 134, Goals above expected +0.7, On-ice PDO 1012.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.32
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 11G 10A, 82 SOG · Provorov 1G 6A, 34 SOG
Tkachuk blocked 1 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 4 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
19:05 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–21
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 27.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | OTT 4–1 CBJ | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-29 | OTT 1–4 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-11 | OTT 6–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-29 | OTT 3–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-14 | OTT 3–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-13 | OTT 6–3 CBJ | 3G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-01 | OTT 2–4 CBJ | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-03-30 | OTT 5–4 PHI | 0G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-12 | OTT 4–1 PHI | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-05 | OTT 1–2 PHI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-29 | OTT 4–2 PHI | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2022-03-18 | OTT 3–1 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LW
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LW
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to D
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Provorov done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 11–8. Tkachuk had 21 points (11 goals) and Provorov had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →