Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left; Nelson has 1 left. We project Hagel for 2.2 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.6.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.07, Ascension score 58, Luck Meter +12.
Nelson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 735, Goals above expected +0.2, Blocked shots 65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.15
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 4G 5A, 20 SOG · Nelson 3G 3A, 37 SOG
Hagel blocked 0 of Nelson's shots; Nelson blocked 2 of Hagel's.
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
11:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–5
- 77.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.0
- 99.8%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | TBL 4–2 COL | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-04 | TBL 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-01 | TBL 2–3 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-30 | TBL 4–1 NYI | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-24 | TBL 4–2 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-08 | TBL 2–6 NYI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-04-01 | TBL 5–0 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-22 | TBL 5–3 NYI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-04-29 | TBL 6–4 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-27 | TBL 4–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-19 | CHI 1–4 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.2 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.6 ptsSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Nelson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 7–4. Hagel had 9 points (4 goals) and Nelson had 6 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →