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Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Hagel vs J.T. Miller

Brandon HagelBrandon HagelLightning · Left wingvsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hagel for 1.8 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hagel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +34, Transition attempts /60 2.07, Ascension score 58.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Faceoffs won 547, Hardest shot 102.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Hagel

2.15

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHagelMiller
Goals (+2)0.950.42
Assists (+1)0.500.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.20
Hits (+0.1)0.060.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hagel vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HagelMiller
7Team record in 14 meetings7
11Points in those games15

Hagel 6G 5A, 29 SOG · Miller 4G 11A, 35 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other4

Hagel's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–1 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other0

Hagel blocked 1 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 0 of Hagel's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)

13:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Hagel's side

Shot attempts
13–9
59.1%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
79.4%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Hagel and J.T. Miller
DateScoreHagelMiller
2026-10-01TBL 1–5 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-15TBL 2–4 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-29TBL 4–1 NYR2G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S
2025-11-12TBL 3–7 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-17TBL 0–4 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-07TBL 5–1 NYR1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-15TBL 4–1 VAN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-12TBL 1–4 VAN0G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S
2023-10-19TBL 4–3 VAN0G 1A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-01-18TBL 5–2 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 2A 5S
2023-01-12TBL 5–4 VAN1G 1A 3S1G 1A 4S
2022-01-31CHI 1–3 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HagelMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Hagel or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brandon Hagel or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hagel and Miller done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 7–7. Hagel had 11 points (6 goals) and Miller had 15 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Miller?
Against each other, Hagel has won 0 and Miller 4 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →