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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Justin Faulk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nelson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.42, Sequence xG 59.8%, Scoring chances 58.3%.

Faulk's biggest edges: Luck Meter +62, Transition attempts /60 0.52, Hits 70.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonFaulk
Goals (+2)0.890.38
Assists (+1)0.500.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.18
Hits (+0.1)0.040.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.79

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Faulk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonFaulk
11Team record in 24 meetings13
23Points in those games12

Nelson 8G 15A, 51 SOG · Faulk 3G 9A, 63 SOG

0Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other1

Nelson blocked 2 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 1 of Nelson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

4:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
10–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.0
100.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Justin Faulk
DateScoreNelsonFaulk
2025-12-31COL 6–1 STL1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-05COL 4–5 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-29COL 1–2 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-23NYI 3–1 STL1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-17NYI 0–1 STL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-05NYI 4–2 STL0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-06NYI 4–7 STL0G 1A 4S0G 2A 0S
2022-11-03NYI 5–2 STL1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-09NYI 1–6 STL0G 1A 4S2G 1A 5S
2022-03-05NYI 2–1 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-27NYI 2–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-14NYI 3–2 STL1G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonFaulk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Justin Faulk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nelson and Faulk done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 11–13. Nelson had 23 points (8 goals) and Faulk had 12 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →