Who to start · 2025-26
Brock Nelson vs Mikhail Sergachev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.
Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.
This week Nelson has 1 game left; Sergachev has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.6.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nelson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.1%, Sequence xG 59.8%, Scoring chances 58.3%.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Luck Meter +21, Hardest shot 99.0, Transition attempts /60 0.49.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nelson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.24 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.81 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nelson vs Sergachev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nelson 9G 7A, 58 SOG · Sergachev 4G 11A, 55 SOG
Nelson blocked 4 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 5 of Nelson's.
On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)
17:50 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side
- Shot attempts
- 27–20
- 57.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.6
- 60.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nelson | Sergachev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | COL 4–2 UTA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1–0 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-21 | COL 3–4 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2–1 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-11 | NYI 2–1 UTA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4–5 UTA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-04-06 | NYI 6–1 TBL | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-01 | NYI 0–5 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-10-22 | NYI 3–5 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-29 | NYI 4–6 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-27 | NYI 1–4 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-15 | NYI 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.6 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brock Nelson or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brock Nelson or Mikhail Sergachev?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nelson and Sergachev done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 12–16. Nelson had 16 points (9 goals) and Sergachev had 15 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →