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Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Verhaeghe for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Carter Verhaeghe has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Offensive-zone start % 57.9%, Hits 68.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Blocked shots 134, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

1.59

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Carter Verhaeghe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVerhaegheProvorov
Goals (+2)0.650.22
Assists (+1)0.390.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.19
Hits (+0.1)0.090.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.140.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheProvorov
12Team record in 15 meetings3
13Points in those games11

Verhaeghe 9G 4A, 51 SOG · Provorov 3G 8A, 21 SOG

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other2

Verhaeghe blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 2 of Verhaeghe's.

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

7:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
17–5
77.3%
Expected goals
0.7–0.4
60.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreVerhaegheProvorov
2026-03-05FLA 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 2S1G 2A 4S
2025-12-06FLA 7–6 CBJ2G 1A 3S0G 2A 1S
2025-03-20FLA 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-06FLA 3–0 CBJ0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-15FLA 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-10FLA 5–2 CBJ1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-06FLA 5–4 CBJ1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2023-03-21FLA 3–6 PHI0G 1A 9S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-27FLA 3–4 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-19FLA 4–3 PHI2G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-10FLA 6–3 PHI2G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-24FLA 2–1 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Carter Verhaeghe leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and Provorov done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 12–3. Verhaeghe had 13 points (9 goals) and Provorov had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →