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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.3, Shorthanded points 2, Goals above expected +2.9.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, High-danger chances 52.3%, Scoring chances 51.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.42

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonProvorov
Goals (+2)0.400.22
Assists (+1)0.410.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.350.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonProvorov
9Team record in 16 meetings7
9Points in those games8

Stephenson 4G 5A, 21 SOG · Provorov 1G 7A, 28 SOG

2Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other4

Stephenson blocked 0 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 4 of Stephenson's.

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

14:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
17–23
42.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
52.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreStephensonProvorov
2026-03-21SEA 2–5 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-11SEA 1–2 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-09SEA 2–6 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-12SEA 5–2 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-23VGK 4–2 CBJ0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-04VGK 3–6 CBJ1G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-03-14VGK 5–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-09VGK 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-08VGK 1–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2020-01-02VGK 5–4 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2019-11-13WSH 2–1 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2019-03-14WSH 5–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Provorov done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 9–7. Stephenson had 9 points (4 goals) and Provorov had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →