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Who to start · 2025-26

Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47.

Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Stephenson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Stephenson for 2.9 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Stephenson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Hardest shot 85.6, Shorthanded points 2.

Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Offensive-zone time 43.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chandler Stephenson

1.47

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStephensonRielly
Goals (+2)0.500.25
Assists (+1)0.390.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.17
Hits (+0.1)0.020.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Stephenson vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StephensonRielly
9Team record in 16 meetings7
9Points in those games11

Stephenson 2G 7A, 17 SOG · Rielly 2G 9A, 40 SOG

2Hits on each other0
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Stephenson's side)

9:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Stephenson's side

Shot attempts
5–9
35.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
55.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Chandler Stephenson and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreStephensonRielly
2026-01-29SEA 5–2 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-18SEA 4–3 TOR0G 2A 2S1G 0A 5S
2025-02-06SEA 1–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-10-31SEA 1–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-27VGK 6–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-22VGK 3–7 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-08VGK 4–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-10-24VGK 3–1 TOR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-11VGK 3–4 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-02VGK 0–4 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2019-10-16WSH 4–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-21WSH 3–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StephensonRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chandler Stephenson

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Chandler Stephenson or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chandler Stephenson's 1.47. Stephenson had 49 points in 80 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chandler Stephenson or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Stephenson and Rielly done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Stephenson's team went 9–7. Stephenson had 9 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →