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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Luck Meter +60, Plus/minus +13, On-ice PDO 1026.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Offensive-zone time 44.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyMiller
Goals (+2)0.320.50
Assists (+1)0.720.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyMiller
11Team record in 26 meetings15
14Points in those games21

McAvoy 3G 11A, 38 SOG · Miller 8G 13A, 50 SOG

1Hits on each other10
1Shots blocked by the other2

McAvoy blocked 1 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 2 of McAvoy's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

10:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
10–10
50.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
64.0%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and J.T. Miller
DateScoreMcAvoyMiller
2026-01-26BOS 3–4 NYR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2026-01-10BOS 10–2 NYR1G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-05BOS 2–3 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-01BOS 6–3 NYR1G 0A 2S2G 0A 6S
2024-12-14BOS 5–1 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-24BOS 2–3 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 3A 4S
2024-02-08BOS 4–0 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-25BOS 3–1 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-13BOS 5–2 VAN0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2021-12-08BOS 1–2 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-28BOS 3–2 VAN0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2020-02-22BOS 3–9 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 3A 4S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to D
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Miller done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 11–15. McAvoy had 14 points (3 goals) and Miller had 21 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →