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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 75, Transition attempts /60 0.56, Hits 79.

Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Scoring chances 55.7%, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyMarner
Goals (+2)0.320.59
Assists (+1)0.720.69
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.20
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyMarner
24Team record in 42 meetings18
15Points in those games52

McAvoy 2G 13A, 57 SOG · Marner 14G 38A, 98 SOG

7Hits on each other5
9Shots blocked by the other0

McAvoy blocked 9 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of McAvoy's.

2Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

5:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
10–9
52.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.3
63.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Mitch Marner
DateScoreMcAvoyMarner
2026-01-22BOS 4–3 VGK1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-16BOS 5–6 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 2A 0S
2025-01-04BOS 4–6 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 4A 3S
2024-11-05BOS 0–4 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 2A 0S
2024-10-26BOS 4–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 3A 4S
2024-05-04 · POBOS 2–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-02 · POBOS 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-30 · POBOS 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-27 · POBOS 3–1 TOR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-24 · POBOS 4–2 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-04-22 · POBOS 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-20 · POBOS 5–1 TOR0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 42 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Marner done against each other?
In 42 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 24–18. McAvoy had 15 points (2 goals) and Marner had 52 (14 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →