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Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project McAvoy for 1.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Charlie McAvoy has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Penalty minutes 62, Hardest shot 93.0.

Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Top skating speed 22.7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.60

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Charlie McAvoy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyRielly
Goals (+2)0.320.28
Assists (+1)0.720.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.18
Hits (+0.1)0.110.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.73

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyRielly
25Team record in 43 meetings18
16Points in those games31

McAvoy 2G 14A, 55 SOG · Rielly 7G 24A, 100 SOG

2Hits on each other0
9Shots blocked by the other4

McAvoy blocked 9 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 4 of McAvoy's.

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

10:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
11–8
57.9%
Expected goals
0.6–0.3
66.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreMcAvoyRielly
2026-03-24BOS 2–4 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-11BOS 5–3 TOR0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-04BOS 4–6 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-05BOS 0–4 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 2A 2S
2024-10-26BOS 4–3 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-05-04 · POBOS 2–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-02 · POBOS 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2024-04-30 · POBOS 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-04-27 · POBOS 3–1 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-24 · POBOS 4–2 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-22 · POBOS 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-20 · POBOS 5–1 TOR0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 43 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Charlie McAvoy projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Charlie McAvoy leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and Rielly done against each other?
In 43 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 25–18. McAvoy had 16 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 31 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →