Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Charlie McAvoy vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41.

McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week McAvoy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to McAvoy's 1.7.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

McAvoy's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059, Blocked shots 129, Hits 79.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Scoring chances 59.3%, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Corsi 57.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Charlie McAvoy

2.41

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcAvoyMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.321.32
Assists (+1)0.720.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.44
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McAvoy vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McAvoyMacKinnon
6Team record in 13 meetings7
8Points in those games16

McAvoy 0G 8A, 22 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 10A, 51 SOG

4Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other2

McAvoy blocked 3 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of McAvoy's.

2Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (McAvoy's side)

11:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McAvoy's side

Shot attempts
4–27
12.9%
Expected goals
0.1–1.3
4.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Charlie McAvoy and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreMcAvoyMacKinnon
2025-10-25BOS 3–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2025-10-18BOS 1–4 COL0G 1A 1S2G 0A 8S
2024-10-16BOS 5–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-18BOS 5–2 COL0G 0A 5S1G 0A 6S
2024-01-08BOS 3–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-03BOS 5–1 COL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-26BOS 3–4 COL0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-21BOS 5–1 COL0G 2A 1S1G 0A 7S
2019-12-07BOS 1–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S
2019-10-10BOS 2–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2019-02-10BOS 2–1 COL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 6S
2017-10-11BOS 3–6 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McAvoyMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Charlie McAvoy

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Charlie McAvoy or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Charlie McAvoy's 2.41. McAvoy had 61 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Charlie McAvoy or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McAvoy and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, McAvoy's team went 6–7. McAvoy had 8 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 16 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →