Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Christian Dvorak vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Dvorak has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left. We project Provorov for 1.6 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.5.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Shorthanded points 2, Offensive-zone start % 52.3%, Offensive-zone time 40.7%.

Provorov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.1, Goals above expected +0.7, Scoring chances 51.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Christian Dvorak

1.47

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDvorakProvorov
Goals (+2)0.450.22
Assists (+1)0.410.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.19
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dvorak vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DvorakProvorov
8Team record in 14 meetings6
8Points in those games6

Dvorak 2G 6A, 22 SOG · Provorov 2G 4A, 35 SOG

0Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other1

Dvorak blocked 3 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 1 of Dvorak's.

On the ice against each other (Dvorak's side)

16:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dvorak's side

Shot attempts
12–15
44.4%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
27.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Christian Dvorak and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreDvorakProvorov
2026-03-24PHI 2–3 CBJ0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-03-14PHI 1–2 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-28PHI 3–5 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-23MTL 4–5 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-27MTL 4–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-16MTL 5–1 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-29MTL 4–2 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-24MTL 5–2 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-19MTL 5–4 PHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-21MTL 3–6 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 1A 5S
2020-01-04ARI 6–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2019-12-05ARI 3–1 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DvorakProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Christian Dvorak or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Dvorak had 51 points in 80 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Christian Dvorak or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dvorak and Provorov done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Dvorak's team went 8–6. Dvorak had 8 points (2 goals) and Provorov had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →