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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Eeli Tolvanen

Clayton KellerClayton KellerMammoth · Right wingvsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.5%, Corsi 56.4%, Plus/minus +21.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Transition attempts /60 1.47.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.590.48
Assists (+1)0.830.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.17
Hits (+0.1)0.010.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Clayton Keller and Eeli Tolvanen have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →