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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Plus/minus +21, On-ice PDO 1014, Ascension score 50.

Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Faceoffs won 547, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerMiller
Goals (+2)0.590.42
Assists (+1)0.830.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.010.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerMiller
6Team record in 15 meetings9
10Points in those games12

Keller 5G 5A, 53 SOG · Miller 3G 9A, 30 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Keller's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23 to 2023-24)

0Hits on each other1

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and J.T. Miller
DateScoreKellerMiller
2024-12-18UTA 3–2 VAN1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-10ARI 4–3 VAN0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2024-04-03ARI 1–2 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-01-18ARI 1–2 VAN0G 0A 8S0G 1A 0S
2023-04-13ARI 4–5 VAN0G 1A 3S1G 1A 2S
2023-03-16ARI 3–2 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-03ARI 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-02-08ARI 1–5 VAN0G 0A 5S1G 1A 3S
2020-03-04ARI 4–2 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2020-01-16ARI 1–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-03-18ARI 1–4 TBL1G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2018-10-27ARI 7–1 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Miller done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 6–9. Keller had 10 points (5 goals) and Miller had 12 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Miller?
Against each other, Keller has won 0 and Miller 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →