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Who to start · 2025-26

Clayton Keller vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Keller for 2.9 ESPN points to Frost's 2.6.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Keller's biggest edges: Plus/minus +21, Hardest shot 91.3, Sequence xG 57.1%.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Faceoffs won 601, Hits 59.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellerFrost
Goals (+2)0.590.50
Assists (+1)0.830.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.17
Hits (+0.1)0.010.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Keller vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellerFrost
5Team record in 11 meetings6
9Points in those games12

Keller 4G 5A, 26 SOG · Frost 2G 10A, 22 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Keller's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other1

Keller blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 1 of Keller's.

On the ice against each other (Keller's side)

5:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side

Shot attempts
3–1
75.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
56.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Clayton Keller and Morgan Frost
DateScoreKellerFrost
2026-04-12UTA 1–4 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-12-06UTA 0–2 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-15UTA 3–1 CGY0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-01UTA 3–1 CGY1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-08UTA 4–2 PHI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-12ARI 3–5 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-12-07ARI 1–4 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-05ARI 2–6 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 4A 4S
2022-12-11ARI 5–4 PHI3G 0A 5S1G 3A 2S
2021-12-11ARI 3–5 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2019-12-05ARI 3–1 PHI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellerFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to C
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to C

FAQ

Should I start Clayton Keller or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Clayton Keller or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Keller and Frost done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 5–6. Keller had 9 points (4 goals) and Frost had 12 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Frost?
Against each other, Keller has won 1 and Frost 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →