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Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Caufield vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Caufield has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Caufield for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Cole Caufield has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Caufield's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.2%, Offensive-zone start % 62.5%, Luck Meter +66.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 134, Penalty minutes 32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Caufield

2.40

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Cole Caufield has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCaufieldProvorov
Goals (+2)1.260.22
Assists (+1)0.460.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.19
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.130.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Caufield vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CaufieldProvorov
9Team record in 13 meetings4
18Points in those games4

Caufield 8G 10A, 58 SOG · Provorov 1G 3A, 16 SOG

2Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other3

Caufield blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 3 of Caufield's.

On the ice against each other (Caufield's side)

23:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Caufield's side

Shot attempts
19–31
38.0%
Expected goals
0.8–1.7
32.2%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Cole Caufield and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreCaufieldProvorov
2026-04-11MTL 2–5 CBJ1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-26MTL 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-17MTL 3–4 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-23MTL 4–5 CBJ0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-27MTL 4–3 CBJ1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-16MTL 5–1 CBJ0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-12MTL 3–0 CBJ0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-29MTL 4–2 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-26MTL 4–3 CBJ1G 2A 8S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-19MTL 5–4 PHI2G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-21MTL 3–6 PHI1G 0A 6S1G 1A 5S
2022-03-13MTL 4–3 PHI1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CaufieldProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Cole Caufield

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to RWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Caufield or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Cole Caufield projects to 2.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Caufield had 88 points in 81 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Caufield or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Cole Caufield leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Caufield and Provorov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Caufield's team went 9–4. Caufield had 18 points (8 goals) and Provorov had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →