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Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Sebastian Aho

Collin GrafCollin GrafSharks · Right wingvsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Luck Meter +55, Goals above expected +2.2, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021.

Aho's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.2%, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafAho
Goals (+2)0.490.72
Assists (+1)0.290.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.25
Hits (+0.1)0.110.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafAho
1Team record in 2 meetings1
1Points in those games1

Graf 1G 0A, 3 SOG · Aho 1G 0A, 8 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Graf's side)

6:10 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side

Shot attempts
2–7
22.2%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
13.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Collin Graf and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreGrafAho
2025-12-07SJS 4–1 CAR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-20SJS 1–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Graf and Aho done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 1–1. Graf had 1 points (1 goals) and Aho had 1 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →