Who to start · 2025-26
Colton Parayko vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.66 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.64.
Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Parayko has 2 games left; Tolvanen has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Parayko for 3.7 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 2.8.
Colton Parayko has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Parayko's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Expected goals 52.3%.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Power-play points 14, Penalty minutes 30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Colton Parayko
1.66
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.64
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Colton Parayko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Parayko | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.12 | 0.52 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Parayko vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Parayko 1G 7A, 14 SOG · Tolvanen 3G 5A, 15 SOG
Parayko blocked 3 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 0 of Parayko's.
On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)
5:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–7
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 52.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Parayko | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | STL 5–1 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | STL 3–4 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-04-12 | STL 3–4 SEA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-25 | STL 7–2 SEA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-08 | STL 3–2 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-14 | STL 4–1 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-26 | STL 4–3 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-14 | STL 2–1 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-28 | STL 3–5 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2022-04-17 | STL 8–3 NSH | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-12 | STL 7–4 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-01-17 | STL 5–3 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Colton Parayko
2games
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL1.7 ptsvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to DSchedule edge −16.8 win%Likely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B1.5 ptsSchedule edge −13.4 win%vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Colton Parayko or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.66 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.64. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Colton Parayko or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Colton Parayko leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Parayko and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 9–4. Parayko had 8 points (1 goals) and Tolvanen had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →