Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Jeff Skinner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jeff Skinner's 1.06.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Skinner had 13 in 32 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Skinner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Skinner's 1.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 681, Fenwick 54.3%, Sequence xG 56.6%.
Skinner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.006, Hardest shot 86.3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.21
fantasy points per game
Jeff Skinner
1.06
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Skinner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.17 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.10 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Skinner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 4G 12A, 29 SOG · Skinner 1G 2A, 25 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 3–5 (2018-19 to 2022-23)
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Skinner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | EDM 8–3 BUF | 0G 4A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-09 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-06 | EDM 3–2 BUF | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2022-10-18 | EDM 2–4 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-17 | EDM 6–1 BUF | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-12 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-12-08 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-03-04 | EDM 4–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-01-14 | EDM 7–2 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2018-03-20 | EDM 7–3 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-10-17 | EDM 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Jeff Skinner
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to LWSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Jeff Skinner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jeff Skinner's 1.06. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Skinner had 13 in 32 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Jeff Skinner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Skinner done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 6–5. McDavid had 16 points (4 goals) and Skinner had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Skinner?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 3 and Skinner 5 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →