Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.9 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.6%, Offensive-zone start % 64.7%, Hits 86.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +0.1, Top skating speed 22.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.54

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakProvorov
Goals (+2)0.750.22
Assists (+1)0.920.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.19
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

David Pastrnak and Ivan Provorov have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to D

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →