Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Hits 87, Fenwick 54.1%.
Provorov's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 56, On-ice PDO 1012, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.63
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 5G 5A, 74 SOG · Provorov 3G 8A, 33 SOG
Hamilton blocked 5 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 5 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
28:10 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–24
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.2
- 41.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | NJD 0–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-31 | NJD 3–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-01 | NJD 3–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-13 | NJD 3–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-19 | NJD 2–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-24 | NJD 1–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-25 | NJD 7–0 PHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-15 | NJD 1–2 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-03 | NJD 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-13 | NJD 2–5 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2021-12-14 | NJD 1–6 PHI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2021-12-08 | NJD 3–0 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Provorov done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 12–10. Hamilton had 10 points (5 goals) and Provorov had 11 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →