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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Sebastian Aho

Dougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonDevils · DefencevsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Aho has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 4.0 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.0, Transition attempts /60 1.42, Ascension score 54.

Aho's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 128, Plus/minus +11, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonAho
Goals (+2)0.420.72
Assists (+1)0.330.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.25
Hits (+0.1)0.120.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonAho
7Team record in 25 meetings18
12Points in those games25

Hamilton 4G 8A, 53 SOG · Aho 8G 17A, 52 SOG

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other2

Hamilton blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 2 of Hamilton's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1
8Goals set up by the other12

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

20:34 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
18–20
47.4%
Expected goals
1.1–1.2
48.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreHamiltonAho
2026-03-28NJD 2–5 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-17NJD 1–4 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 3A 0S
2026-01-04NJD 1–3 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-09NJD 3–6 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2025-04-29 · PONJD 4–5 CAR0G 1A 2S2G 1A 7S
2025-04-27 · PONJD 2–5 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2025-04-25 · PONJD 3–2 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2025-04-22 · PONJD 1–3 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-20 · PONJD 1–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-28NJD 2–5 CAR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 5S
2024-12-27NJD 4–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-21NJD 4–2 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to Dvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Sebastian Aho

3games (2 left)

4.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Aho done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 7–18. Hamilton had 12 points (4 goals) and Aho had 25 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →