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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Corsi 54.2%, Faceoffs won 0, Fenwick 54.1%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Luck Meter +35, On-ice PDO 1011.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.63

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.310.61
Assists (+1)0.350.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.20
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonTarasenko
12Team record in 19 meetings7
12Points in those games14

Hamilton 4G 8A, 54 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 8A, 40 SOG

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other2

Hamilton blocked 2 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 2 of Hamilton's.

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

4:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
3–2
60.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
39.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreHamiltonTarasenko
2026-01-12NJD 5–2 MIN0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-22NJD 4–1 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-16NJD 2–5 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-29NJD 5–4 DET1G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-10-24NJD 3–5 DET0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2023-05-01 · PONJD 4–0 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-29 · PONJD 2–5 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2023-04-27 · PONJD 4–0 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-24 · PONJD 3–1 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-22 · PONJD 2–1 NYR1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-20 · PONJD 1–5 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-18 · PONJD 1–5 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 12–7. Hamilton had 12 points (4 goals) and Tarasenko had 14 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →