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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Cozens vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Cozens's 1.90.

Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Cozens has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Carlson for 1.9 ESPN points to Cozens's 1.7.

Dylan Cozens has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Cozens's biggest edges: Hits 215, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.001, 20+ mph bursts 211.

Carlson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1009, Plus/minus +9, Luck Meter +52.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Cozens

1.90

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCozensCarlson
Goals (+2)0.680.39
Assists (+1)0.380.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.22
Hits (+0.1)0.260.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.75

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cozens vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CozensCarlson
6Team record in 14 meetings8
9Points in those games15

Cozens 5G 4A, 33 SOG · Carlson 2G 13A, 42 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Cozens blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 3 of Cozens's.

On the ice against each other (Cozens's side)

7:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cozens's side

Shot attempts
8–6
57.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
71.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Cozens and John Carlson
DateScoreCozensCarlson
2026-01-01OTT 4–3 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-25OTT 7–1 WSH2G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-06BUF 4–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2024-12-14BUF 2–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 3A 1S
2024-04-11BUF 4–2 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-04-02BUF 6–2 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-22BUF 3–4 WSH1G 0A 3S0G 2A 7S
2022-03-25BUF 3–4 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2021-12-11BUF 2–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2021-11-08BUF 3–5 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2021-04-15BUF 5–2 WSH0G 2A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-01-22BUF 3–4 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CozensCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Cozens

1games

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.7 pts

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Cozens or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Cozens's 1.90. Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Cozens or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Cozens leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cozens and Carlson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Cozens's team went 6–8. Cozens had 9 points (5 goals) and Carlson had 15 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →