Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.52, Goals above expected +4.4, Hardest shot 91.4.

Barzal's biggest edges: Blocked shots 50, Penalty minutes 61, Offensive-zone start % 62.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.15

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherBarzal
Goals (+2)1.010.47
Assists (+1)0.420.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.23
Hits (+0.1)0.080.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherBarzal
3Team record in 4 meetings1
7Points in those games2

Guenther 6G 1A, 9 SOG · Barzal 0G 2A, 7 SOG

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

9:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
7–10
41.2%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
64.1%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreGuentherBarzal
2026-01-01UTA 7–2 NYI3G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-14UTA 2–3 NYI1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-10UTA 5–4 NYI2G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-10ARI 2–0 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Barzal done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 3–1. Guenther had 7 points (6 goals) and Barzal had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →