Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Sebastian Aho

Dylan GuentherDylan GuentherMammoth · Right wingvsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Guenther has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Guenther for 3.5 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, Luck Meter +41, On-ice PDO 1015.

Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherAho
Goals (+2)1.200.72
Assists (+1)0.390.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.25
Hits (+0.1)0.080.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Guenther and Sebastian Aho have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →